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Red104
472843.3
534842.2
617517.5
Blue86
563842.4
302636.2
305824.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888205015020025030010486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.1
43.343.2
Auto6.7
Teleop33.4
End2.0
red by 0.9
42.40.4
42.842.4
Auto9.0
Teleop31.9
End1.2
Second
42.20.1
42.142.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.4
End0.5
red by 6.0
36.20.4
36.636.2
Auto8.0
Teleop27.4
End0.8
Third
6175
#11
17.50.1
17.517.4
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End-1.2
blue by 6.7
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End1.3