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Red83
282617.2
558623.9
572018.3
Blue60
870015.8
247220.3
557624.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58602040801008360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5586
#24
23.91.8
18.220.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6
blue by 0.5
5576
#31
24.40.4
18.619.0
Auto10.5
Teleop6.3
End7.7
Second
5720
#18
18.31.8
15.617.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 2.0
2472
#27
20.30.4
21.321.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
Third
2826
#47
17.21.8
21.122.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End6.0
red by 1.4
8700
#58
15.80.4
16.216.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned