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Red115
250238.2
591351.1
477818.2
Blue99
302322.4
418223.2
753027.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8861020408010012014016011599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.14.0
31.735.7
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 23.6
7530
#34
27.53.1
22.625.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End7.5
Second
2502
#14
38.24.0
29.533.4
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.6
red by 15.1
4182
#26
23.23.1
19.722.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End6.6
Third
4778
#35
18.24.0
18.222.2
Auto8.0
Teleop3.4
End6.7
blue by 4.1
3023
#39
22.43.1
18.821.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned