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Qual 322023 Northern Lights Regional
Red67
298742.3
470315.1
572018.3
Blue89
251215.6
727320.0
250238.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8871204060801001201401606789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#10
42.33.4
41.1→37.8
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End7.6
red by 4.0
2502
#14
38.21.7
33.2→34.8
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End6.6
Second
5720
#18
18.33.4
18.2→14.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
blue by 1.7
7273
#40
20.01.7
21.0→22.7
Auto2.5
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
4703
#46
15.13.4
21.1→17.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End6.5
blue by 0.6
2512
#43
15.61.7
14.9→16.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsMissed