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Red62
52540.5
32128.7
167518.0
Blue41
767714.8
880318.0
60449.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801006241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#11
40.50.8
28.429.2
Auto13.4
Teleop18.6
End8.5
red by 22.5
8803
#48
18.02.8
22.820.1
Auto7.1
Teleop4.0
End6.9
Second
1675
#50
18.00.8
16.817.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
red by 3.2
7677
#53
14.82.8
12.49.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End2.4
Third
3212
#54
8.70.8
9.910.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.8
End5.3
blue by 0.4
6044
#56
9.22.8
13.610.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed