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Red114
523244.0
388342.2
423033.8
Blue87
392831.5
657428.8
757814.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957440608012014016011487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.03.1
31.334.4
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
red by 12.5
3928
#23
31.51.7
33.134.8
Auto12.4
Teleop12.0
End7.1
Second
42.23.1
27.330.4
Auto7.1
Teleop29.2
End6.0
red by 13.4
6574
#25
28.81.7
25.026.6
Auto11.4
Teleop10.3
End7.1
Third
4230
#15
33.83.1
27.630.7
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End8.1
red by 19.0
7578
#49
14.81.7
13.915.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned