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Red66
642133.6
375511.8
302322.4
Blue67
416616.9
786425.5
572018.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7756020401001206667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
34.033.7
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End7.0
red by 8.1
7864
#12
25.50.7
23.924.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End6.6
Second
3023
#39
22.40.3
23.523.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.0
End7.8
red by 4.1
5720
#18
18.30.7
15.616.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.9
End5.0
Third
3755
#55
11.80.3
11.711.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End4.6
blue by 5.1
4166
#36
16.90.7
15.316.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned