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Red38
727320.0
338125.2
527113.7
Blue115
249131.1
523244.0
418223.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649720408012014038115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3381
#16
25.22.8
27.724.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.2
End7.0
blue by 18.9
44.02.4
39.742.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.4
End10.5
Second
7273
#40
20.02.8
23.520.8
Auto2.5
Teleop14.0
End3.6
blue by 11.1
2491
#21
31.12.4
26.529.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
5271
#28
13.72.8
13.310.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End4.5
blue by 9.4
4182
#26
23.22.4
20.322.7
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned