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Red114
16732.5
591351.1
247220.3
Blue68
167518.0
392629.1
266715.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026020408012014011468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.12.5
44.547.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 22.0
3926
#33
29.10.7
28.529.2
Auto8.8
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Second
167
#6
32.52.5
28.831.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End6.3
red by 14.5
1675
#50
18.00.7
18.018.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Third
2472
#27
20.32.5
16.919.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
red by 5.1
2667
#42
15.30.7
14.915.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsMissed