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Red136
753027.5
702143.0
52540.5
Blue102
388342.2
478638.2
310021.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171086080100140160136102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.5
42.242.6
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.0
red by 0.7
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto7.1
Teleop29.2
End6.0
Second
525
#11
40.50.5
39.740.1
Auto13.4
Teleop18.6
End8.5
red by 2.3
38.20.0
38.238.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.4
End10.6
Third
7530
#34
27.50.5
26.727.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End7.5
red by 5.8
3100
#41
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.9
End5.8