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Red128
462428.5
591351.1
205251.7
Blue89
423033.8
16732.5
558623.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14287406010012016018020012889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.1
50.550.6
Auto13.9
Teleop28.7
End8.8
red by 17.9
4230
#15
33.80.0
33.133.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.3
End8.1
Second
51.10.1
50.050.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.0
End8.9
red by 18.6
167
#6
32.50.0
31.931.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End6.3
Third
4624
#29
28.50.1
27.327.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 4.5
5586
#24
23.90.0
23.323.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.6
End6.6