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Red45
616018.8
329118.9
779712.1
Blue58
369221.9
704118.6
400925.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625701001504558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3291
#48
18.91.4
17.716.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 6.8
4009
#29
25.70.4
23.624.0
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Second
6160
#47
18.81.4
22.921.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End6.7
blue by 3.0
3692
#52
21.90.4
14.815.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.5
Third
7797
#57
12.11.4
16.715.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 6.5
7041
#35
18.60.4
15.616.0
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed