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Red42
253122.5
88789.5
250313.8
Blue72
883622.9
565323.2
319733.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627402040801001201404272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#17
22.52.0
24.122.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End7.8
blue by 10.7
3197
#30
33.10.5
26.426.9
Auto7.2
Teleop22.4
End3.5
Second
2503
#36
13.82.0
20.818.8
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 9.4
5653
#33
23.20.5
21.521.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
Third
8878
#59
9.52.0
14.913.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.9
End0.1
blue by 13.4
8836
#20
22.90.5
19.820.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsMissed