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Red113
874423.3
329728.3
9333.2
Blue59
401128.5
329418.3
222724.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68652040608010012011359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#18
33.24.9
22.627.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.9
End7.2
red by 4.7
4011
#31
28.50.9
15.314.4
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
Second
3297
#26
28.34.9
21.025.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End4.9
red by 3.7
2227
#38
24.50.9
27.126.2
Auto7.5
Teleop10.3
End6.7
Third
8744
#24
23.34.9
20.024.9
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End7.7
red by 5.0
3294
#40
18.30.9
19.318.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed