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Red89
171439.5
401128.5
546420.0
Blue51
217714.1
451124.4
565323.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63623040507080901008951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.53.4
25.028.4
Auto12.4
Teleop17.1
End10.0
red by 15.1
4511
#15
24.40.9
19.618.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.6
End7.6
Second
4011
#31
28.53.4
13.717.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 5.4
5653
#33
23.20.9
21.020.1
Auto8.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
Third
5464
#43
20.03.4
19.522.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 5.9
2177
#46
14.10.9
18.717.8
Auto6.1
Teleop2.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed