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Red100
329118.9
534839.5
223922.5
Blue82
706830.2
474126.8
251121.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7673406010012014010082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.7
29.331.9
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End5.1
red by 9.3
7068
#10
30.21.5
26.327.7
Auto9.8
Teleop11.5
End8.9
Second
2239
#21
22.52.7
21.424.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End6.6
blue by 4.3
4741
#27
26.81.5
20.922.3
Auto10.9
Teleop7.8
End8.2
Third
3291
#48
18.92.7
20.323.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End7.1
blue by 2.6
2511
#44
21.51.5
21.623.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned