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Red140
565323.2
472836.4
226439.2
Blue121
173231.0
710335.6
304222.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106906080100120140140121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.0
38.639.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.0
End8.6
red by 3.7
35.60.9
34.735.6
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End7.5
Second
36.41.0
35.836.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.2
End8.3
red by 5.5
1732
#23
31.00.9
30.131.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
5653
#33
23.21.0
22.623.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
red by 0.4
3042
#13
22.80.9
21.922.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End7.4