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Red90
282330.9
569031.3
9333.2
Blue118
284734.5
883622.9
534839.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102101809011012013090118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#18
33.20.2
33.433.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.9
End7.2
blue by 6.3
39.50.5
38.839.4
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Second
31.30.2
31.531.3
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 3.2
34.50.5
33.834.3
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End6.3
Third
2823
#22
30.90.2
31.130.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End7.8
red by 8.0
8836
#20
22.90.5
22.222.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.8
End6.8