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Red118
284734.5
582630.2
534839.5
Blue93
253029.8
474126.8
181630.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11289608010012014016011893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.3
38.538.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End5.1
red by 9.5
30.10.0
30.030.1
Auto13.0
Teleop10.6
End6.4
Second
34.50.3
33.533.8
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End6.3
red by 4.7
2530
#19
29.80.0
29.729.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.7
End6.9
Third
5826
#14
30.20.3
29.930.2
Auto11.6
Teleop13.5
End5.1
red by 3.4
4741
#27
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto10.9
Teleop7.8
End8.2