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Red124
401128.5
171439.5
604537.5
Blue107
282330.9
569031.3
9333.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105102406080120140160180124107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.6
37.037.6
Auto12.4
Teleop17.1
End10.0
red by 6.3
93
#18
33.20.0
33.333.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.9
End7.2
Second
37.50.6
35.035.6
Auto12.8
Teleop18.2
End6.5
red by 6.1
31.30.0
31.431.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
4011
#31
28.50.6
26.126.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End7.7
blue by 2.4
2823
#22
30.90.0
31.031.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End7.8