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Red128
469319.0
87650.5
523252.1
Blue133
472853.3
245153.7
304227.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241466080100160180200128133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.2
51.451.6
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
blue by 1.6
53.70.1
54.053.8
Auto12.3
Teleop31.4
End9.9
Second
876
#4
50.50.2
49.749.9
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
blue by 2.9
53.30.1
53.653.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
Third
4693
#35
19.00.2
18.318.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 8.8
3042
#26
27.80.1
28.127.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3