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Red144
469319.0
87650.5
523252.1
Blue130
472853.3
245153.7
304227.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251466080100160180200220144130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.5
51.652.1
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
blue by 1.6
53.70.1
53.853.7
Auto12.3
Teleop31.4
End9.9
Second
876
#4
50.50.5
49.950.5
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
blue by 2.9
53.30.1
53.453.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
Third
4693
#35
19.00.5
18.519.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 8.8
3042
#26
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3