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Red118
472853.3
313035.3
310033.0
Blue105
247226.1
253040.8
702845.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84106204060120140160118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.33.2
36.439.7
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
red by 7.5
7028
#16
45.80.3
46.446.7
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
Second
3130
#18
35.34.1
23.427.4
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
blue by 5.4
2530
#21
40.80.3
29.830.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.4
End6.7
Third
33.03.2
21.725.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
red by 7.0
2472
#27
26.10.3
20.320.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed