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Red128
308230.8
298755.9
662827.4
Blue131
212945.2
546433.6
288352.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94968090100110120130128131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.93.1
42.345.3
Auto13.6
Teleop32.5
End8.9
red by 3.5
52.33.4
43.046.4
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
Second
3082
#12
30.83.8
21.425.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
blue by 14.4
2129
#11
45.23.7
26.830.5
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
Third
6628
#17
27.42.8
24.727.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End9.0
blue by 6.2
5464
#10
33.63.7
20.023.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned