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Red100
384826.1
419834.7
214330.4
Blue60
245022.7
616620.6
420728.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747030405060809010011010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#15
34.72.7
25.027.7
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End7.6
red by 6.3
4207
#36
28.41.1
33.432.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End6.1
Second
2143
#13
30.43.7
21.925.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End7.5
red by 7.7
2450
#30
22.71.5
18.316.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.3
Third
3848
#34
26.13.7
19.823.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 5.5
6166
#32
20.61.5
16.915.4
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsMissed