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Red103
616620.6
298755.9
304227.8
Blue112
310033.0
212945.2
222724.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908750100150103112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.91.4
47.348.7
Auto13.6
Teleop32.5
End8.9
red by 10.7
2129
#11Sur
45.22.2
31.834.0
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
Second
3042
#26
27.81.4
22.023.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3
blue by 5.2
33.02.2
26.328.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Third
6166
#32Sur
20.62.1
14.917.0
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 3.8
2227
#29
24.42.2
23.625.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned