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Red65
670915.7
702845.8
423823.2
Blue58
546433.6
469319.0
265427.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9268204060801001201406558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#16
45.81.2
47.246.0
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
red by 12.3
5464
#10
33.60.6
25.725.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End4.3
Second
4238
#20
23.21.2
19.117.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 4.3
2654
#22
27.50.6
26.225.7
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End6.7
Third
6709
#38Sur
15.72.0
17.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 3.3
4693
#35
19.00.6
14.814.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed