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Red113
400937.4
702149.3
375119.9
Blue79
477826.7
523252.1
245022.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810170809011012013014011379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.4
45.346.7
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
blue by 2.8
52.11.0
49.248.2
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
Second
4009
#14
37.41.4
28.630.0
Auto10.5
Teleop21.0
End5.6
red by 10.7
4778
#23
26.71.0
24.623.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End8.1
Third
3751
#24
19.92.3
18.320.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End7.0
blue by 2.8
2450
#30
22.71.7
20.719.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned