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Red129
472853.3
212945.2
616620.6
Blue88
214330.4
670915.7
388350.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111058010012014016012988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.7
48.249.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
red by 2.5
50.81.1
50.849.7
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
Second
2129
#11DQ
45.21.7
38.540.2
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
red by 14.8
2143
#13
30.41.8
31.129.2
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End7.5
Third
6166
#32
20.62.8
16.819.6
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 4.9
6709
#38
15.71.8
17.715.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsMissed