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Red82
703821.7
308230.8
674927.3
Blue96
310033.0
223930.6
422920.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77787075808590958296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#12
30.81.0
32.133.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
blue by 2.3
33.01.2
28.129.3
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Second
6749
#28
27.31.0
23.924.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.5
blue by 3.3
2239
#25
30.61.2
28.329.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
Third
7038
#39
21.70.6
16.617.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.6
red by 1.0
4229
#31
20.61.2
16.717.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed