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Red105
212945.2
477826.7
469319.0
Blue103
392638.6
222724.4
304227.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82974060120140160105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#11
45.21.7
40.241.9
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
red by 6.6
3926
#19
38.60.9
34.935.8
Auto13.6
Teleop17.2
End7.8
Second
4778
#23
26.71.7
23.625.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End8.1
blue by 1.1
3042
#26
27.80.9
27.228.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Third
4693
#35
19.01.7
15.217.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 5.4
2227
#29
24.40.9
27.228.1
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned