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Red102
616620.6
670915.7
702149.3
Blue97
702845.8
223930.6
662827.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85120406010014016018010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.31.2
47.548.7
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 3.4
7028
#16
45.81.1
45.544.4
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
Second
6166
#32
20.61.9
20.622.5
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
blue by 10.0
2239
#25
30.61.1
29.928.9
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
Third
6709
#38
15.71.7
15.817.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 11.7
6628
#17
27.41.1
32.931.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed