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Red89
670915.7
384826.1
288352.3
Blue101
477826.7
702149.3
247226.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611040608012014016018089101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.2
53.253.0
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
red by 3.1
49.30.0
48.148.0
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Second
3848
#34
26.10.2
23.823.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End2.6
blue by 0.6
4778
#23
26.70.0
26.126.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.8
End8.1
Third
6709
#38
15.70.2
14.914.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 10.3
2472
#27
26.10.0
27.527.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned