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Red80
245022.7
423823.2
253040.8
Blue51
616620.6
662827.4
222724.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908660801001208051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#21
40.80.3
37.637.3
Auto11.4
Teleop22.4
End6.7
red by 13.4
6628
#17
27.42.0
30.628.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.1
End9.0
Second
4238
#20
23.20.3
22.622.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 1.2
2227
#29
24.42.0
28.926.9
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.5
Third
2450
#30
22.70.4
23.923.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.3
red by 2.1
6166
#32
20.62.5
21.819.3
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsMissed