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Red115
223930.6
523252.1
308230.8
Blue107
703821.7
469319.0
298755.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11793406080100140160180115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.6
48.248.8
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
blue by 3.8
55.90.8
54.655.4
Auto13.6
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Second
3082
#12
30.80.7
29.630.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
red by 9.1
7038
#39
21.70.8
17.618.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.6
Third
2239
#25
30.60.6
28.529.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
red by 11.6
4693
#35
19.00.8
17.618.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed34%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned