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Red124
87650.5
222724.4
388350.8
Blue97
310033.0
384826.1
247226.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143795010020012497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.1
52.652.5
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
red by 17.7
33.01.0
31.032.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Second
876
#4
50.50.1
47.447.3
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
red by 24.4
3848
#34
26.11.1
23.624.7
Auto7.5
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
2227
#29
24.40.1
26.926.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.5
blue by 1.7
2472
#27
26.11.0
27.428.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed