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Red107
616620.6
253040.8
703821.7
Blue80
308230.8
245022.7
469319.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8177406010012010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#21
40.82.1
37.339.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.4
End6.7
red by 10.0
3082
#12
30.80.6
30.330.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
Second
7038
#39
21.72.1
18.420.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End5.6
blue by 1.0
2450
#30
22.70.6
23.624.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.5
End6.3
Third
6166
#32
20.62.4
19.321.7
Auto2.1
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 1.6
4693
#35
19.00.5
18.419.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned