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Red134
469319.0
87650.5
523252.1
Blue123
298755.9
288352.3
265427.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221446080100160180200134123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.3
50.650.9
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
blue by 3.8
55.90.3
55.955.6
Auto13.6
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Second
876
#4
50.50.3
49.049.3
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
blue by 1.9
52.30.3
52.452.1
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
Third
4693
#35
19.00.3
17.517.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 8.5
2654
#22
27.50.3
27.627.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End6.7