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Red125
419834.7
702845.8
308230.8
Blue115
214330.4
392638.6
313035.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119110406080100140160180200125115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#16
45.80.2
45.645.8
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
red by 7.2
3926
#19
38.60.0
38.638.6
Auto13.6
Teleop17.2
End7.8
Second
4198
#15
34.70.2
34.534.7
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End7.6
blue by 0.6
3130
#18
35.30.0
35.335.3
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End5.9
Third
3082
#12
30.80.2
30.530.7
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
red by 0.4
2143
#13
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End7.5