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Red162
423823.2
245153.7
472853.3
Blue146
702149.3
388350.8
223930.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13913280100120160180200162146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.1
53.653.7
Auto12.3
Teleop31.4
End9.9
red by 2.9
50.80.5
50.350.8
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
Second
53.30.1
53.253.3
Auto13.1
Teleop31.0
End8.9
red by 4.0
49.30.5
48.849.3
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
4238
#20
23.20.1
23.123.2
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 7.4
2239
#25
30.60.5
30.130.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1