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Red115
419834.7
702845.8
308230.8
Blue124
298755.9
288352.3
265427.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11314750100200115124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#16
45.80.0
45.645.6
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
blue by 10.1
55.90.5
56.455.9
Auto13.6
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Second
4198
#15
34.70.0
34.534.5
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End7.6
blue by 17.6
52.30.5
52.952.4
Auto13.7
Teleop28.1
End9.9
Third
3082
#12
30.80.0
30.530.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0
red by 3.3
2654
#22
27.50.5
28.127.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.0
End6.7