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Red142
469319.0
87650.5
523252.1
Blue105
212945.2
222724.4
310033.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510750150200142105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.4
50.050.4
Auto8.9
Teleop30.5
End12.3
red by 6.9
2129
#11
45.20.1
45.245.2
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End7.8
Second
876
#4
50.50.4
48.348.7
Auto11.6
Teleop30.7
End8.0
red by 17.4
33.00.1
33.133.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Third
4693
#35
19.00.4
16.917.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.5
End4.1
blue by 5.4
2227
#29
24.40.1
24.424.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End5.5