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Red125
223930.6
388350.8
702149.3
Blue144
308230.8
702845.8
419834.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371126080100120160180200125144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.0
50.450.4
Auto10.6
Teleop32.0
End7.4
red by 4.9
7028
#16
45.80.7
44.945.6
Auto15.4
Teleop23.5
End6.7
Second
49.30.0
48.948.9
Auto13.6
Teleop28.1
End7.0
red by 14.6
4198
#15
34.70.7
33.834.5
Auto6.9
Teleop20.2
End7.6
Third
2239
#25
30.60.0
30.230.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.5
End7.1
blue by 0.2
3082
#12
30.80.7
29.930.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.8
End9.0