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Red135
282340.6
363035.3
245025.2
Blue114
250936.9
466336.3
302639.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102124406080140160180200135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.8
39.740.5
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.8
red by 0.9
3026
#20
39.70.1
39.839.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.8
End7.1
Second
3630
#12
35.30.8
34.435.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 1.6
2509
#22
36.90.1
37.036.9
Auto13.6
Teleop17.0
End6.3
Third
2450
#37
25.20.8
24.325.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5
blue by 11.1
4663
#13
36.30.1
36.436.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.5
End7.2