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Red121
250243.6
706838.3
249132.8
Blue114
247047.2
181641.4
254923.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123119050100150200250121114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.1
43.643.7
Auto12.7
Teleop24.0
End6.9
blue by 3.6
2470
#14
47.20.0
47.247.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.8
End8.0
Second
38.30.1
38.338.4
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End8.6
blue by 3.1
41.40.0
41.441.4
Auto13.7
Teleop19.4
End8.3
Third
2491
#28
32.80.1
32.832.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.6
End7.5
red by 9.3
2549
#42
23.60.1
23.523.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.3
End4.7