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Red133
308237.0
419838.3
543441.3
Blue98
245025.2
363035.3
282340.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124102608014016018013398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#11
41.30.4
40.240.6
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End9.0
red by 0.7
40.60.0
39.739.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End6.8
Second
4198
#15
38.30.3
37.337.6
Auto7.4
Teleop22.7
End8.2
red by 3.1
3630
#12
35.30.0
34.434.4
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Third
3082
#16
37.00.3
36.036.3
Auto9.2
Teleop18.6
End9.2
red by 11.8
2450
#37
25.20.0
24.424.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End5.5