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Red132
298737.6
453629.9
205250.5
Blue128
591357.8
250233.9
318449.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117150050100200250132128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.3
49.649.9
Auto15.8
Teleop24.8
End9.4
blue by 7.4
57.80.3
58.257.9
Auto14.1
Teleop36.4
End5.7
Second
2987
#29
37.60.3
36.737.0
Auto9.8
Teleop21.3
End5.9
blue by 12.3
49.90.3
50.249.9
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Third
29.90.3
29.129.4
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End7.7
blue by 4.0
2502
#12
33.90.3
34.233.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End7.5