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Red139
298737.6
453629.9
205250.5
Blue113
591357.8
250233.9
823422.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312380100140160139113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.5
49.950.5
Auto15.8
Teleop24.8
End9.4
blue by 7.4
57.80.0
57.957.8
Auto14.1
Teleop36.4
End5.7
Second
2987
#29
37.60.5
37.037.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 3.7
2502
#12
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End7.5
Third
29.90.5
29.429.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End7.7
red by 7.2
8234
#18
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.0
End6.3