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Red79
205250.5
310023.4
247219.6
Blue87
253111.4
318449.9
25136.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109670501502007987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.1
51.650.5
Auto15.8
Teleop24.8
End9.4
red by 0.6
49.91.3
51.152.4
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
3100
#21
23.41.1
24.423.3
Auto9.1
Teleop8.1
End6.4
red by 11.9
2531
#34
11.41.3
10.211.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End5.4
Third
2472
#20
19.61.1
20.018.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.1
End5.4
red by 12.8
2513
#28
6.81.3
6.37.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned