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Red67
245017.6
282328.6
250233.9
Blue108
247049.9
284635.9
218126.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012405015020067108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#12
33.92.1
35.733.6
Auto10.7
Teleop15.6
End7.5
blue by 16.0
49.90.3
48.848.6
Auto14.8
Teleop26.6
End7.8
Second
2823
#30
28.62.1
31.629.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End6.7
blue by 7.3
35.90.3
37.337.0
Auto12.1
Teleop16.9
End6.6
Third
2450
#35
17.62.1
20.718.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.1
End5.1
blue by 8.8
2181
#10
26.40.3
25.925.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned